Monday, June 13, 2005

the latest from Paul Kasriel

Despite some of the articles I've come across recently and despite what Greenspan has said, I've always believed one of the best predictors of recessions was an inverted yield curve. Here's Kasriel's take on the issue.

Also, in the NTRS Economic Outlook for June, Kasriel thinks it should be 1 (or maybe 2) and done for FFR hikes.

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